Proof of Aliens Could Come Within 25 Years, Scientist Says
2010 08 20

By Clara Moskowitz | Space.com


Proof of extraterrestrial intelligence could come within 25 years, an astronomer who works on the search said Sunday.

"I actually think the chances that we’ll find ET are pretty good," said Seth Shostak, senior astronomer at the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence Institute in Mountain View, Calif., here at the SETI con convention. "Young people in the audience, I think there’s a really good chance you’re going to see this happen."

Shostak bases this estimation on the Drake Equation, a formula conceived by SETI pioneer Frank Drake to calculate the number (N) of alien civilizations with whom we might be able to communicate. That equation takes into account a variety of factors, including the rate of star formation in the galaxy, the fraction of stars that have planets, the fraction of planets that are habitable, the percent of those that actually develop life, the percent of those that develop intelligent life, the fraction of civilizations that have a technology that can broadcast their presence into space, and the length of time those signals would be broadcasted.

Reliable figures for many of those factors are not known, but some of the leaders in the field of SETI have put together their best guesses. Late great astronomer Carl Sagan, another SETI pioneer, estimated that the Drake Equation amounted to N = 1 million. Scientist and science fiction writer Isaac Asimov calculated 670,000. Drake himself estimates a more conservative 10,000.

But even if that lower value turns out to be correct, at the rate they’re going, it wouldn’t take scientists too long to discover an alien signal, Shostak said.

"This range, from Sagan’s million down to 10,000 – that’s the range of estimates from people who have started and worked on SETI," said Shostak. "These people may know what they’re talking about. If they do, then the point is we trip across somebody in the next several dozen or two dozen years."

The SETI quest is set to take a leap forward when the Allen Telescope Array, a network of radio dishes under construction in northern California, is fully operational. By 2015, the array should be able to scan hundreds of thousands of stars for signs of extraterrestrial intelligence, Shostak said.

But while humans might be able to discover an alien signal within that timeframe, interpreting what ET is trying to tell us could take much, much longer.

Shostak admitted such a task would be very difficult. An alien civilization may be as technologically advanced compared to us as Homo sapiens are to our hominid relatives Neanderthals.

"We could give our digital television signals to the Neanderthals, and they’ll never figure it out. And they’re not stupid," he said.

Yet simply having proof that we are not alone in the universe would likely be a world-changing achievement, Shostak added.

Article from: Space.com



Also tune into:

Barbara Lamb - Crop Circles, Lights, Decoding & Communication

Richard C. Hoagland - Phobos an Ancient Alien Spaceship, Mars, NASA & Disclosure

Jim Gardner - The Intelligent Universe, Bio-Cosm, ET, AI and Evolution

Jim Gardner - The Intelligent Universe & The Search for ET

Steven Greer - ET: Friend or Enemy? Disclosure & Free Energy

Stephen Bassett - Official UFO/ET Disclosure

Lloyd Pye - Extraction of Nuclear DNA from the Starchild Skull

Michael Mautner - Panspermia, Seeding the Universe with Life

Nigel Kerner - Grey Aliens and the Harvesting of Souls

Nigel Kerner - The Greys, Genetic Engineering, Bloodlines, Races & DNA

Freeman - Space War, the Norway Spiral, CARE, CERN, HAARP & EISCAT

Freeman - Space War, the Norway Spiral, CARE, CERN, HAARP & EISCAT

Steven Greer - ET: Friend or Enemy? Disclosure & Free Energy

Stephen Bassett - Official UFO/ET Disclosure

Stephen Bassett - Official UFO/ET Disclosure Continued





Related Articles
What aliens would really be like
Seekers of alien life gather for SETIcon
Government UFO / Alien Disinformation Campaigns
Aliens have been trying to contact us by cosmic Twitter, scientists claim
Looks Like UFO Alien Abductees Are Right About Our Unfolding Future
Churchill Ordered UFO Cover-Up, Archives Show


Latest News from our Front Page

6,000-Year-Old Temple with Possible Sacrificial Altars Discovered
2014 10 21
A 6,000-year-old temple holding humanlike figurines and sacrificed animal remains has been discovered within a massive prehistoric settlement in Ukraine. Built before writing was invented, the temple is about 60 by 20 meters (197 by 66 feet) in size. It was a "two-story building made of wood and clay surrounded by a galleried courtyard," the upper floor divided into five ...
What happened to Journalist Serena Shim? Assassinated? Find out what happened to Serena, Press TV director calls on Turkey
2014 10 21
Press TV news director Hamid Reza Emadi says the “suspicious death,” of the news channel’s correspondent in Turkey is a tragedy for “anyone who wants to get the truth.” Emadi made the remarks in an interview with Press TV on Sunday following Serena Shim’s death across the border from Syria’s Kurdish city of Kobani, where the ISIL terrorists and Kurdish fighters ...
Ancient Roman Nanotechnology Inspires Next-Generation Holograms for Information Storage
2014 10 21
The Lycurgus Cup, as it is known due to its depiction of a scene involving King Lycurgus of Thrace, is a 1,600-year-old jade green Roman chalice that changes colour depending on the direction of the light upon it. It baffled scientists ever since the glass chalice was acquired by the British Museum in the 1950s, as they could not work ...
Rapid Geomagnetic Reversal Possibility: Confirmed
2014 10 21
From the video: "The scientists who conducted the study are still unsure why the magnetic field is weakening, but one likely reason is the Earth’s magnetic poles are getting ready to flip, said Rune Floberghagen, the ESA’s Swarm mission manager. In fact, the data suggest magnetic north is moving toward Siberia." Tune into Red Ice Radio: Ben Davidson - Suspicious0bservers: Space Weather ...
Georgia Guide Stone 2014 cube stone removal
2014 10 21
From: Youtube: Was it all just a gag? it seems the cube stone just happens to be made out of the same Elberton granite that the rest of this morbid monument is made from.
More News »